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The (cyber security) Empire strikes back

Remember the Citrini piece of ‘scenario analysis’ that went viral on social media on Sunday 22 February and hammered share prices of global software and cyber-security companies? The 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS. That piece of ‘scenario analysis’ has by and large been discredited, but the damage was done and for many people (to use a […]

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WELL. WELL

On May 29 we posted a comment on BP – ‘it’s a gusher’ and what you would have seen (and can see if you take a look at past posts) is the chart of the right below. The chart is the Apollo Margin of Safety chart which gives users a continuous, objective assessment of the […]

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LVMH – Back in Fashion.

Over the past few months we’ve followed the LVMH (share price) story through the eyes of Apollo. We picked the story up originally following the relentless downturn. It was when we noticed that the drivers of value had transitioned to Cash flow and Book Value that we saw the stock bottom. The market was looking […]

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And when he was only half way up he was neither up nor down (The Grand Old Duke of York.)

The rally in NASDAQ since March 30 has been impressive. The rally in AI, Space and Semi conductor stocks has been ‘extraordinary.’ MAG7 stocks have struggled by comparison and are being re-assessed from being asset light / cash generators to being quite the opposite. Then there are the issues of SpaceX valuation and I say […]

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And he marched them up to the top of the hill and he ….

The rally in NASDAQ since March 30 has been impressive. The rally in AI, Space and Semi conductor stocks has been ‘extraordinary.’ MAG7 stocks have struggled by comparison and are being re-assessed from being asset light / cash generators to being quite the opposite. Then there are the issues of SpaceX valuation and I say […]

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Semi conducting the market

Semiconductors. The talk of the town and today is no exception. It’s been (and is) a must have sector for investors. It’s also a sector where the media and bears can’t stop trying to call the top. Three months ago we posted an article here on Linkedin – ‘Chips with everything’ in which we showed […]

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You can Bank on it.

You can Bank on it. AI’s not just a tech story anymore. It’s seeping into every corner of the market and that’s a big reason ‘Wall Street’s’ rushing to lift S&P 500 targets toward 8,500+. Time to look beyond Big Tech. Financials (S5FINL) are primed to benefit across the sector: productivity, risk, revenue. As Jamie […]

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It’ a ‘gusher.’

The chart below provides an excellent example of what we at Libra and the Apollo data set and signals have been doing for 20 years and still are. This image is BP – needless to say benefitting from events in the Middle East. And how. Anticipating entry and exit points for stocks, sectors and markets is tough. […]

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Micro(very)soft

Talk about about a change of heart! Mention the word AI and certain stocks come to mind, but few more so than hashtag#MSFT. It’s well known that investor attitudes to AI story have changed – it’s gone from buy everything associated with AI due to the exponential growth potential to focus on extraordinary Capex and […]

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In dark times, you need a friend.

In dark times, you need a friend. I was asked this morning politely what I thought of markets, given I’ve been around a long time. Pride aside, it’s actually true. From Black Monday (Oct 1987) to the Gulf War (1990–91), the 1994 bond shock, the Asian Financial Crisis and LTCM (1997–98), the dot‑com bust (2000–02), […]